Market Report
| August, 2009 | Current Period |
Last Period |
Last Year |
Month-to-Month Change |
Year-to-Year Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Existing Home Sales | 514,110 | 546,750 | 427,910 | -6.0 | 20.1% |
| Median Home Price | $274,740 | $263,600 | $373,100 | 4.2% | -26.4% |
| Unsold Inventory Index | 4.1 months |
4.6 months |
7.6 months |
-10.9% | -46.1% |
| Median Days On Market | 44.3 | 52.4 | 49.0 | -15.5% | -9.6% |
| 30-Year Fixed Mortgage | 5.42% | 4.86% | 6.32% | 0.56% | -0.90% |
Market Analysis:
The four primary economic indicators that affect real estate are interest rates, job market, affordability,
and consumer confidence. By analyzing these, we understand why the market is improving,
and we can predict where the market is trending. Interest rates -Your monthly mortgage
payment is directly affected by the interest rate you pay. For example, if you have a $300,000
mortgage at 5% amortized over 30 years, your monthly payment is $1,610. If your interest rate
is 8% on the same amount, your monthly payment is $2,201. A $591 monthly payment difference
makes it clear that interest rates are important. Federal Reserve Chairman Bernanke has indicated
that he intends to keep interest rates low...at least for the next few months. Job Market - Obviously,
people need income in order to buy a home. With unemployment over 10% in California,
many potential homeowners are unemployed or in fear of losing their job. There is definitely a
need for the job market to grow stronger. Affordability - Over the past four years, home prices
have depreciated from 30 to 40% in most areas of California. We may never see prices this affordable
again. In fact, in the lower price ranges, we are already experiencing some appreciation.
Consumer Confidence - This is, perhaps, the most important factor of all. When consumers believe
the market is good, they are more inclined to make purchases. With interest rates very low,
prices down, and consumer confidence on the rise, it is easy to predict a bright future for California
real estate.









